Specifically, SCCS is a case-only method in which only persons with an adverse event are considered.
One main drawback of this approach is that it depends on the existence of the MLE.
Often when a sample size is small, data separation occurs if no events are observed in one of the 2 groups defined by a dichotomous covariate (or no events are observed in either the risk period or the control period(s) in the SCCS design), and no MLE is produced.
IRRs compare the incidence rate of adverse events in the risk period with the rate in the control period(s).
The IRRs are estimated using conditional Poisson regression models, conditioning on the number of events and the exposure history experienced by each individual during a predetermined observation period. The MLEs of α and β can be obtained using standard statistical software such as STATA (17) and SAS (18).
The Firth correction method provides finite and less biased estimates than the maximum likelihood method and Cordeiro and Mc Cullagh's method.
However, limitations still exist when the risk period in the SCCS design is short relative to the entire observation period.
Therefore, the conditional Poisson regression model can be implemented using a Cox proportional hazards framework, thus simplifying the analysis of SCCS data using standard statistical packages.
In addition, Heinze and Schemper (19) have demonstrated that inference based on the profile penalized likelihood is preferable to the Wald test statistic for the Firth correction method.
option in the SAS PROC PHREG statement for SCCS studies. (23) compared the likelihood of a conditional Poisson regression model with the partial likelihood of a Cox stratified proportional hazards model in the SCCS design and demonstrated that the MLEs and standard errors from these two models are equivalent.
Second, Heinze and Schemper (21) adapted Firth's procedure in a Cox regression model with a penalized partial likelihood, which has been implemented in the SAS procedure PHREG.
In all simulations, the observation period was set to 365 days for all individuals.